Robert Besser
19 May 2025, 12:13 GMT+10
TOKYO, Japan: Japan's economy contracted for the first time in a year, shrinking at a faster pace than expected in the first quarter as steep U.S. tariffs cast a shadow over the export-dependent economy.
Data showed that the economy shrank at an annualized rate of 0.7 percent in the January-March period, far worse than the 0.2 percent decline forecasted by analysts.
The slump was driven by stagnant private consumption and falling exports, highlighting the vulnerability of Japan's recovery even before President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs in early April. The export-heavy automobile sector is particularly at risk as the U.S. moves to impose a 24 percent tariff on Japanese goods starting in July unless a deal is reached.
Despite the grim headline figure, there were some bright spots in the data. Capital expenditure rose 1.4 percent, exceeding expectations and contributing 0.7 percentage points to GDP growth. The GDP deflator, a measure of price pressures in the economy, increased by 3.3 percent in the first quarter, marking the second consecutive quarterly rise.
Economic Revitalisation Minister Ryosei Akazawa acknowledged the challenges posed by U.S. trade policy, warning that tariffs could further dent consumption and household sentiment. "We must be mindful of downside risks to the economy from U.S. tariff policy," Akazawa said.
Exporters are already feeling the pinch. Toyota Motor said it expects profit to decline by 20 percent this financial year, and Mazda has delayed its earnings forecast due to uncertainty over U.S. trade measures.
While the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates to 0.5 percent in January after a decade of near-zero rates, it has since scaled back its growth projections and warned that ongoing tariff tensions could force it to reconsider further rate increases.
Analysts warn that the risk of another contraction looms in the second quarter, particularly if U.S. tariffs take a heavy toll on capital spending and exports. "The early-year contraction serves as a reminder of Japan's economic struggles," said Stefan Angrick, head of Japan and Frontier markets Economics at Moody's Analytics.
Get a daily dose of Africa Leader news through our daily email, its complimentary and keeps you fully up to date with world and business news as well.
Publish news of your business, community or sports group, personnel appointments, major event and more by submitting a news release to Africa Leader.
More InformationKATHMANDU, Nepal: An Indian climber and a Filipino climber were the first to die on Mount Everest during the current climbing season...
MOSCOW, Russia: Russia has sentenced a 33-year-old Australian man to 13 years in a high-security prison for fighting with Ukrainian...
ALMATY, Tajikistan: Tajikistan has officially removed criminal liability for liking social media posts that the government deems extremist,...
SACRAMENTO, California: California Governor Gavin Newsom has proposed cutting back a free healthcare program for low-income undocumented...
DETROIT, Michigan: The FBI has arrested a 19-year-old man from Michigan, Ammar Abdulmajid-Mohamed Said, for allegedly planning a mass...
WASHINGTON, D.C.: Parts of the U.S. and Canada may not have enough electricity this summer if hot weather causes more people to use...
STOCKHOLM, Sweden: Apple has blocked access to the popular video game Fortnite on iPhones in the United States and through Epic Games'...
NEW YORK, New York - U.S. stocks struggled on Monday as a further downgrading of U.S. debt by Moody's sent the dollar sliding and Treasury...
PARIS, France: Richemont, the owner of luxury brands Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels, posted a stronger-than-expected seven percent...
TOKYO, Japan: Japan's economy contracted for the first time in a year, shrinking at a faster pace than expected in the first quarter...
WASHINGTON, D.C.: Parts of the U.S. and Canada may not have enough electricity this summer if hot weather causes more people to use...
CORAOPOLIS, Pennsylvania: Dick's Sporting Goods is set to acquire Foot Locker in a US$2.4 billion deal, marking the second major footwear...